SKU: 94589541236

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the MarketsFooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word of mouth sensation that will change the way you

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

" Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church."
-Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink

"The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade."
-Maggie Mahar, author of Bull A History of the Boom, 1982--1999

"Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you."
-Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving

"Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould."
-Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World's Best Companies Simulate to Innovate

"We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded."
-Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance

"Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights and] extreme brilliance."
-National Review

Binding Type: Hardcover
Publisher: Random House
Published: 10/14/2008
ISBN: 9781400067930
Pages: 316
Weight: 1.31lbs
Size: 9.50h x 6.26w x 1.17d
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SKU: 94589541236

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Stephanie
Carnegie, US
★★★★★ 5
Great quality, not cheap but totally worth this price!
Size: King
I bought this pillow for my husband because the other I’ve purchased have gone flat. So far he is loving this pillow. It has great loft and comes with extra to adjust if necessary. I’m going to purchase one for myself as well! It is extremely comfortable!
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Reviewed in the United States on January 8, 2026
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CGB
Boise, US
★★★★★ 4
You have to reposition to stay cool
Size: Queen
It's okay...it isn't much better than other cooling pillows I have had. If I had known you can't wash this pillow, only the outside cover, I would not have paid so much. The cover is cool to touch but the heat from your head will penetrate the pillow and I am constantly having to turn it over. So it is ok but way overpriced.
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Reviewed in the United States on August 14, 2025
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Francoara B Bauer
Dallas, US
★★★★★ 5
I like my Sujo FlexCool pillow
Size: Queen
It cools nicely and it is possible to add or remove fill to optimize preferred comfort. Quality made and very comfortable for me after I added some of the fill provided with the pillow.
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Reviewed in the United States on December 5, 2025
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Secret Garden
Chelsea, US
★★★★★ 3
This was not for me
Size: King
Hmm… I didn’t hate this pillow but I was not blown away either. I’ve been using Sleep Number pillow, and since the price range was similar, I thought this might be a great alternative, especially when it’s hot. Even though I was able to adjust the filling, I couldn’t find the right shape/density. And I found that this pillow felt hotter when I was sleeping. After trying it for a few weeks, I went back to my Sleep Number pillow. The quality was fine. But I guess everyone is different, just like some people prefer a softer mattress and others don't.
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Reviewed in the United States on October 13, 2024
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D. Spurrier
Louisville, US
★★★★★ 5
Best pillow ever.
Size: King
How much did I like this pillow? My wife and I both loved it so much that we purchased another one. I think that says it all! The pillow arrives in a large box (king size pillow). It does NOT arrive all flattened and squished in a vacuum bag like some others do. I did place it on my back porch to air out for a while, just because that's what I do with any new bedding. I did not have any issue with scent or odors from either of my pillows. Its clearly well constructed with high quality materials. It comes with a smaller bag of extra stuffing if you want a slightly firmer pillow. We have not used any of the extra stuffing... we think the pillows are perfect as is! When I ordered the first pillow, I thought the price was a bit on the high side. After using it, I had no hesitation purchasing a second. This pillow is well worth the price. If anything, I feel this pillow is a great value at its price. Its not too hard, not too soft. Its the goldilocks pillow! I give this pillow my highest possible recommendation. Its simply a great pillow.
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Reviewed in the United States on December 5, 2024

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